Gia đình Sonhanhhaha

Đối với những ai quan tâm tới lĩnh vực văn hóa học thuật Việt Nam chắc không khỏi buồn lòng khi nghe tin Quỹ văn hóa Phan Châu Trinh đã chính thức ngưng hoạt động. Bản thông báo được bà Chủ tịch Nguyễn Thị Bình ký ngày 20 tháng 2 năm 2019 và phát hành rộng rãi vào ngày 23 tháng này. Một trong những nội dung cho biết “11 năm hoạt động cho phép Quỹ Văn hóa Phan Châu Trinh vui mừng trước những thành quả bước đầu ấy trong việc khởi phát tinh thần “Hưng dân trí, chấn dân khí”. Nay do một số điều kiện khách quan, chúng tôi xin trân trọng Thông báo chấm dứt mọi hoạt động của Quỹ Văn hóa Phan Châu Trinh kể từ ngày công bố Thông báo này”. Phải công nhận rằng Quỹ Văn hóa Phan Châu Trinh là một tổ chức được hình thành và hoạt động rất bài bản chuyên nghiệp, tập trung một số nhân sĩ trí thức cùng mục tiêu khai sáng tầm nhìn của người dân qua Giải thưởng văn hóa Phan Châu Trinh một giải thưởng được Nhà xuất bản Tri Thức và Quỹ Văn hóa Phan Châu Trinh trao hằng năm cho các cá nh...

LAST month Nick Rowe had a bad dream. It was five minutes before the first class of the autumn term at Carleton University in Ottawa, where he has long taught macroeconomics. But he could not find the classroom. Then he woke up and remembered with relief that he had just retired. Learning macro is a source of anxiety for many students. Teaching it can give their professors the jitters, too. The subject is notoriously difficult to explain well. During his 37 years at Carleton Mr Rowe remained, by his own admission, “fairly low down the totem pole” as a researcher. But he became a thunderbird at conveying macroeconomic intuition. In the past decade this served him well in his second intellectual career, contributing to Worthwhile Canadian Initiative, an economics blog. Many a controversy has benefited from one of his ingenious analogies or numerical parables, usually involving some kind of fruit. Professors may find themselves ill-prepared for the macro...

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/three-reasons-for-fed-interest-rate-increases-by-martin-feldstein-2018-12?fbclid=IwAR2zGije7NQYxemP7CGSSISGqGWec01fhlHn_cTdBm_Pr4FLoqG2HLETEw4 Given that the US Federal Reserve has long said that its interest-rate policy is “data dependent,” why has it pressed ahead with monetary tightening in the face of worsening economic indicators? Three reasons stand out. CAMBRIDGE – Earlier this month, the US Federal Reserve’s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to increase the short-term interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, taking it from 2.25% to 2.5%. This was the fourth increase in 12 months, a sequence that had been projected a year ago, and the FOMC members also indicated that there would be two more quarter-point increases in 2019. The announcement soon met with widespread disapproval. Critics noted that economic growth has slow...

Source: http://www.viet-studies.com/kinhte/FutureNotChina_FT.pdf Do not extrapolate from the recent past. China has had a hugely impressive four decades. After their triumph in the cold war, both the west and the cause of liberal democracy have stumbled. Should we conclude that an autocratic China is sure to become the world’s dominant power in the next few decades? My answer is: no. That is a possible future, not a certain one. The view widely held in the 1980s that Japan would be “number one” turned out to be badly mistaken. In 1956, Nikita Khrushchev, then first secretary of the communist party of the Soviet Union, told the west that “We will bury you!” He proved utterly wrong. The examples of Japan and the Soviet Union highlight three frequent mistakes: extrapolating from the recent past......

Source: http://www.viet-studies.com/kinhte/CoreInflationVN_August%202018.pdf  The paper develops robust measures of core inflation for Vietnam that can be used in policy-making. These core inflation measures (CIMs) are based on an analytical evaluation of the inflation process in the country, and use a filtering approach to narrow down potential measures that satisfy certain empirically desirable criteria. The study finds that commonly used exclusion-based measures (EBMs) do not perform well against these empirical criteria; trimmed mean measures (TMMs) do better. Among TMMs, “one trim does not fit all periods” — periods of high and variable inflation require larger trims, and vice versa. The econometric computer programmes employed in the paper allow for quick and timely replication of CIMs as new data become available, making them valuable tools for the State Bank of Vietnam. These procedures and programmes can also be ...

nguồn:  https://www.facebook.com/groups/681834435251567/permalink/1171529552948717/ http://language-sport.com/vi/blogs/cac-ky-thi-tieng-anh-cua-truong-dai-hoc-cambridge-ky-thi-cambridge-b116.html Nói thật là e thấy nhiều người hoang mang về IELTS quá, các con thì chả lo mà bố mẹ cứ sốt sắng hết cả lên nên e muốn viết bài này để mọi người có cái nhìn đa chiều hơn ạ. Bài hơi dài, mong mọi ng đủ kiên nhẫn đọc hết ạ. 1. Định nghĩa Theo Wiki, IELTS /ˈaɪ.ɛlts/ (International English Language Testing System) là một hệ thống bài kiểm tra về khả năng sử dụng thành thạo tiếng Anh trải dài qua cả bốn kĩ năng Nghe, Nói, Đọc, Viết. Bài thi được đồng điều hành bởi ba tổ chức ESOL của Đại học Cambridge (University of Cambridge ESOL), Hội đồng Anh (British Council) và tổ chức giáo dục IDP của Úc và được triển khai từ năm 1989. Người thi có thể lựa chọn giữa hai hình thức: Academic (học thuật) hoặc General training module (đào tạo chung): Academic Training: Loại hình học thuật dàn...

Đây là trang web của Cambridge chuyên về sửa writing:  writeandimprove.com Luyện chép chính tả online: www.listen-and-write.com Luyện nói online: www.talkenglish.com Luyện đọc hiểu online: www.eslfast.com Luyện nghe online: www.esl-lounge.com Tra từ điển online: http://dictionary.cambridge.org/ Luyện chép chính tả còn 1 nguồn khác cũng rất tuyệt đây bác ạ: http://www.dictationsonline.com/ Từ điển hình ảnh (visual dictionary) online "đỉnh" nhất: http://www.visualdictionaryonline.com/ Công cụ Text-to-Speech đỉnh nhất: https://www.naturalreaders.com/online/ Công cụ phiên âm (transcription) cho cả câu rất "cool": https://tophonetics.com/

larrysummers.com Economists like me see the world through the prism of models, fit to statistical data and tested against market realities. Economic models provide powerful perspective: I have used them to argue that, had the economy been left to itself and policymakers not heeded the lessons of history and theory, the 2008 financial crisis might have led to another depression. But there are other ways of gaining understanding about an economy and its workers. This was brought home to me last month when I accompanied my wife on a trip different from any I had ever taken. We drove for two weeks on two-lane roads from Chicago to Portland, Ore., across the Great Plains and Rocky Mountains. The larger cities we passed through included Dubuque, Iowa; Cody, Wyo.; and Bozeman, Mont. Driving across America, as opposed to looking down from a plane, mak...

voxeu.org The 2018 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences has been awarded jointly to William Nordhaus for ‘integrating climate change into long-run macroeconomic analysis’, and to Paul Romer for ‘integrating technological innovations into long-run macroeconomic analysis’. This column outlines their work and the connections between them. Both have at their core the longstanding problem of economic growth: why are some places and times rich and others poor, and what is the impact of these differences? Occasionally, the Nobel Committee gives a prize that is unexpected, surprising, yet deft in how it points out underappreciated research. This year, they did no such thing. Both William Nordhaus and Paul Romer have been running favourites for the award for many years. The surprise, if anything, is that the prize went to both men together: Nordhaus is best known for his environmental economics; and Romer for his ...

nytimes.com Bản dịch: http://ttvn.vn/kinh-doanh/su-that-bat-ngo-ve-tham-hut-thuong-mai-420181010143827763.htm  President Trump has put trade policy at the center of his agenda. A case in point is the revised trade agreement with Mexico and Canada, announced on Monday. Yet it is hard to be sanguine about this accomplishment, in part because the changes are so modest but mostly because the president’s overall approach to international trade is so confused. Mr. Trump’s confusion is understandable. Economists have spent centuries studying trade, debunking common myths and arriving at some surprising truths. Let’s review, both for the president and ourselves, some conclusions about trade that most economists accept but, upon first hearing, are not at all obvious. Bilateral trade deficits don’t matter. When Mr. Trump discusses our trade relations with another nation, he often points to the bilateral trade balance — the difference betw...

nytimes.com   The futurist philosopher Yuval Noah Harari worries about a lot. He worries that Silicon Valley is undermining democracy and ushering in a dystopian hellscape in which voting is obsolete. He worries that by creating powerful influence machines to control billions of minds, the big tech companies are destroying the idea of a sovereign individual with free will. He worries that because the technological revolution’s work requires so few laborers, Silicon Valley is creating a tiny ruling class and a teeming, furious “useless class.” But lately, Mr. Harari is anxious about something much more personal. If this is his harrowing warning, then why do Silicon Valley C.E.O.s love him so? “One possibility is that my message is not threatening to them, and so they embrace it?” a puzzled Mr. Harari said one afternoon in October. “For me, that’s more worrying. Maybe I’m missing something?” When Mr. Harari toured the Bay Area this fall to promote his...